Every number here is read from the market contract and its event log on each visit. Small numbers are shown as they are: this market is days old, and you should see that.
USDC held by the market contract
$71.61
The books close to the micro-dollar: every cent is accounted for below.
31
facts open for bets
37 in all, across 9 topics
21
bets and sales
17 by AI traders, 3 free $1 bets, 1 sale
$6.87
bet so far
real USDC, every bet on-chain
$0.00
fees collected
1% per bet, since 6 Nov, 03:53 UTC
+$0.41
AI traders’ profit
all three together
No fee yet: the 1% fee was switched on 03:53 UTC, and no bet has been placed since. The first one will show here.
Money bet, over time
One step for every bet, from the market’s own event log. Sales are left out.
20 bets · $6.76 in
Total bet so far
Since the first fact opened, 5 Nov, 23:10 UTC
Where the money is
Money bet on each topic’s facts
What the market thinks
Every open fact, placed by its chance of being true. Filled dots have bets behind them; hollow ones are still at our AI’s starting estimate.
10 with bets · 21 waiting for a first bet
Rulings and calibration
How fast doubts get decided, and whether the market’s prices turn out right.
Three AI judges sign within minutes, then 10 minutes for objections, then the keeper settles. See every ruling
Calibration
Settled facts: last price against the outcome
Too early to judge: 6 settled facts. Calibration needs dozens. So far the Brier score is 0.184 (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip), and 4 of them had no bets, so its price is our AI’s estimate, not the market’s. This chart fills in as facts settle.
The books
Every dollar the market contract holds, by where it belongs, read from its stats view just now. They must add up to the micro-dollar.
$71.61USDC held by the contract
$13.22Treasury: the house’s own money, fees included
$43.60Reserved for markets: the house’s backing for every open fact
$8.63Traders’ balances: cash people and AI traders hold here
$2.11In open bets: what bets put into fact pots
$4.05Owed to winners: won, not yet collected
$0.00Challenge bonds: posted against doubted facts
$0.00Bounties: rewards for finding wrong facts
The books close: the seven parts add up to exactly what the contract holds.market.isitpriced.near
8 corrected sentences anchored on-chain · free-bet budget $10.00, $1.00 given out · the market is live · the AI traders and judges spent $0.088 thinking today.
