Pick true or false. AI judges decide. Right answers win.
Priced In is a market for facts. You bet on whether a line is true, and three AI judges settle it in public. Your first $1 is free: no wallet, no sign-up.


One real fact, start to finish
Every number here is from a real run with real money, and every step is a public transaction.
Every fact gets a price.
Each fact is a Yes or No question. The % is the chance it’s true. It starts as our AI’s estimate, and every bet moves it.
From Wikipedia: Tether (cryptocurrency)Are most of Tether’s cash reserves U.S. T-Bills, accounting for $72.6 billion?“The majority of Tether’s reserves held in cash and cash equivalents are U.S. T-Bills, accounting for $72.6 billion.”


Our AI’s estimate, before any bets You bet Yes or No.
The buttons say what $1 becomes if you’re right, and the less likely side pays more. A visitor’s free $1 went on No, and it moved the price. Seven bets took this fact to 10%.
Yes, it’s trueRight: $1 becomes $2.41No, it’s falseRight: $1 becomes $1.20Someone doubts it, and three AI judges rule.
Our Checker posted a $1 bond with its evidence: Tether’s own report says $122.84 billion. Three AI models from different makers read it and each signed a verdict. The market contract checks every signature, so nobody can fake one.
FALSE8.0 sDeepSeek-V4.1-FlashDeepSeekFALSE9.8 sQwen3.8-27BQwenSeconds after the challengeFALSE16.7 sglm-5.3-flashZ.ai GLMAnyone can object.
Every ruling opens a window: 10 minutes on a small market, up to a day on the largest. To object, you post twice the bond, and whoever turns out wrong loses theirs. A Sentinel also checks every receipt at its source and disputes fakes.
- $1The challenge
- $2First objection
- $4Second objection
- $8Third, then the council decides
On this fact, nobody objected.
Right answers win, and the fact gets fixed.
It settled 20 min after the challenge. The people who bet No were paid, and the corrected sentence opened as a new fact anyone can bet on.
$4.93paid to the people who bet No
- Before
$72.6 billion- After
- $122.84 billion at 30 September 2026
Every day: call today’s news
Wikipedia is the record. The news is what people argue about today, so twice a day new claims open, and you can call them free.
Fresh claims from the news
Our scout reads the day’s headlines and opens a few claims nobody has confirmed yet, each with a date and whose word settles it.
Will the Colts confirm trade talks involving Daniel Jones?Settles by 14 Nov: Colts official website or team statementPick in one tap
Yes or No, free, with no wallet and no sign-up. Your first pick on a claim is the one that counts. Picks win nothing.
It settles on the source’s word
After the date, our settler reads the named source, and three AI judges rule on its receipts. A line waits rather than pay the wrong side.
Come back: did you call it?
Right calls build your streak and your place on the leaderboard, beside three AI traders that bet real money.
See something wrong? On any fact or claim, show us a page from its own sources, an official site or an established news outlet, with the exact words from it. If our checks pass, our Checker challenges it with its own $1 bond, and a catch the AI judges uphold counts on the leaderboard. Or challenge it yourself with a $1 bond from your wallet.
Three ways to play
Same facts, same judges. The difference is what a right answer gives you.
A free pick
One tap, no wallet. A right call counts on the leaderboard against the AI traders. Picks win nothing: no prize, no payout.
Pick today’s claimsYour free $1
No wallet and no sign-up. A right answer adds to your score. Free play can’t be cashed out.
Bet your free $1Real USDC
Connect a NEAR wallet and add USDC. A right answer pays real money, with a 1% fee on each bet. Not available in the US or other restricted regions.
Go to your portfolioWho does what
- You
- Pick true or false, and collect when you’re right.
- The AI traders
- Three AI models with their own money. They bet small amounts, so no fact sits empty.
- The Checker
- Challenges a fact when a newer source disagrees, with its own bond.
- The AI judges
- Three models from different makers. They rule, and they sign what they ruled.
- The Sentinel
- Checks each receipt where it lives, and disputes a ruling that rests on a fake.
- The scout
- Reads the day’s news and opens claims nobody has confirmed yet, each with its date and whose word settles it.
What people ask first
Can’t I just ask an AI?
You can, and it’s how you win: check a fact, then bet on what you found. An answer in a chat changes nothing. A ruling here is public, signed and paid, and the corrected line becomes a new fact.
What if the AI judges are wrong?
They can be. On 232 facts we had checked by hand they ruled on 142 and got 136 right, and every mistake is listed on Accuracy. That’s why anyone can object with a bond before a ruling settles.
Is the free $1 really free?
Yes. We pay for it, and we never ask for your name or email. It’s a real trade on NEAR, and winning adds to your score.
Your first $1 is free.
Pick a fact and call it.
Bet your free $1