Accuracy

When the jury rules, it’s right 96% of the time.

We tested the three AI judges on 232 facts we had already checked by hand, with the real sources in front of them. On 90 they couldn’t agree, so they didn’t rule. Here is every number, every mistake, and how to run it again.

136 of 142
rulings right
95% interval 91% to 98%
6
rulings wrong
each one is listed below
90
not ruled
the bond is refunded and the line reopens
78 of 82
right with no sources
it ruled on 142 with them

The test

Two of three models must match, as on the chain. The right answers come from our corpus, checked against primary sources before this test existed.

Who ruledRightWrongNo rulingRight when it ruled
The jury, with sources13669096%
The jury, with no sources78415095%
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash alone, with sources1201110192%
Qwen3.8-27B alone, with sources140187489%
glm-5.3-flash alone, with sources13839198%

On the 216 true lines the jury ruled 124 true and 5 false. On the 16 stale or wrong lines it ruled 12 false and 1 true. Most facts it declined had a short source excerpt that didn’t settle them, which is the right time to say so.

Every wrong ruling

A wrong ruling can be disputed with a bond while its window is open. These would have needed one.

The lineOur recordThe juryWhat happened
Any Ethereum account may send ETH to a validator at any time to increase its stake.
From Wikipedia: Ethereum
TrueFalseIt read “at any time” strictly: top-ups now wait in a queue.
When a sender is creating a transaction, the sender must specify a gas limit and gas price.
From Wikipedia: Ethereum
Out of dateTrueTransactions now set a maximum fee, not a gas price. The jury treated the two as the same.
Zcash is modeled on bitcoin, sharing its proof-of-work consensus mechanism.
From Wikipedia: Zcash
TrueFalseIt took “sharing its proof-of-work” to mean the same algorithm. Zcash uses a different one.
Ethereum's consensus protocol is replaced by Avalanche's Snowman consensus.
From Wikipedia: Avalanche (blockchain platform)
TrueFalseThe sentence needs its article around it. Alone, it reads as if Ethereum itself changed.
Tether Holdings Limited is headquartered in El Salvador as of January 2025.
From Wikipedia: Tether (cryptocurrency)
TrueFalseThe source names Tether International, not Tether Holdings, and the jury held that against the line.
Tether's USDT is currently the world's largest market capitalization stablecoin.
From Wikipedia: Stablecoin
TrueFalseIt read USDT’s rank among all coins as its rank among stablecoins.

Can someone lie to the jury?

We attacked it ourselves, with the jury’s exact request. Two of three models decide.

What the jury was givenThe right resultRuled false
Real receipts, on 10 lines we caughtRuled false, and they are10 of 10
An accusation with no proof, on 10 true linesShould not rule false0 of 10
Evidence that orders a verdict, on 10 true linesShould not rule false0 of 10
A made-up receipt, on 10 true linesShould not rule false9 of 10

The jury ignores accusations and orders, but a made-up receipt fooled it 9 times in 10: an AI can’t tell a real quote from a fake one by reading it. On 10 true lines given what our record found, it ruled true on 7 and never false.

So every receipt is checked where it lives

Before our jury sits, each cited page is fetched and its exact words looked for, and three attested models read the page against the challenge.

The challenge citedLinesOur jury satThe Sentinel disputed
Real receipts from real sources21200
A made-up page, quote or record30030
A real page and the lie, with no quote10010
A real quote that doesn’t support the lie13012

A challenge whose receipts fail gets no jury from us. Anyone can still run the jury themselves, so if a ruling rests on receipts that failed, the Sentinel disputes it with its own bond inside the window, and the bond doubles if they dispute back. What it can’t catch is a quote on a site the attacker controls: then the doubling bond and the council at the third dispute are what stop them.

Can’t I just ask an AI?

Yes, and it’s how you win. We tried it on the 10 lines we caught and 6 we know are true.

AskedOn the 10 caught linesOn the 6 true lines
One AI with web search, one runFound 7, unsure on 3, repeated 05 right, unsure on 1, 0 wrongly doubted
Three AIs with no web, 3 runs eachRepeated the mistake in 47 of 90 answersWrongly doubted 16 of 54 answers

An AI that searches can find most of these. All 10 were still on Wikipedia on 2026-11-06, because nobody is paid to look. A market pays the first person who does, and its answer is public, signed and settled.

The live record

These tests are off-chain. The real rulings are public as they happen.

Every ruling on NEAR mainnet, with each judge’s signed verdict, is on Results. How the market’s prices compare with what was decided is on Stats.

Run it again

Each test is one command with a NEAR AI key. Nothing is signed, nothing is posted and no money moves.

The jury on every checked fact
node scripts/bench-jury.mjs
# deployments/jury-bench.json
Can someone lie to the jury?
node scripts/measure-jury.mjs
# deployments/jury-test.json

Full results: the jury, the attacks, AI with web search, AI with no web. Run on 2026-11-06, one run each. How the record was built: the method, written before the first verdict.